Still alive. Bummer that I had to KO Spubbbba, though. Better luck next tourney, man! That elf team will be pretty solid in 10 games.
Wish me luck, guys! Tomorrow at 11, I have a mirror-match!
Golgoth is a lot like
RidF, with a little less development, a somewhat deeper bench, and a Bloodweiser Babe.
You can always predict a slow match when RidF plays.
1) I'm slow. I know it, I'm really honestly trying to get faster, but it's still true.
2) I play control games. I don't like PO, so I don't deal a lot of Cas per block, but I still do serious damage because I block so much. This is slow.
3) It's harder to game against overblocking control teams. It takes more thinking every turn, because you have to work out a strategy based on a lot of variables. Since I bash for position rather than damage, my opponents get more actions than they do vs comparably successful bashers.
Tomorrow in particular, my opponent (
Oazard) is also both good and slow, and has a very similar team to mine. Expect a long but exciting game, much like the last one, but maybe not with so much scoring. I'm hoping for a 2-0 win; my best plausible outcome is a defensive takeaway, either for 1-0 at the half or for two scores. He's got two more MB than me, I've got two more Guard than him. He's got two Dodge and one Tackle, I've got six and two, but he's got a ST point (or 2 if a guy goes down), some AV, a reserve, and a Babe on me. I have a Thower with AG4, he doesn't have either asset, let alone both stacking together. My guys will be in their blue "away" unis; Oazard's Frog buddies will be there to cheer his side on, so any support from the TFF (and/or USA) crowd would be great.
My team is a little more developed, his has a better record, both of us have comparable CR (before the new CR calcs somehow stopped counting all his games, he was 162). I'm a little more versed in the new rules and have a better record overall, but I don't think either of those factors is very meaningful; in fact, the time of the match might favor me more than those factors do, as his 9pm is my 1pm.
The way I see it, the matchup is best illustrated by looking at player #7 on
each roster.
I've watched about a dozen of his games, including most of his current team's matches and all his LRB6 games (mostly with Humans). I've got a good handle on his tendencies and come up with counters for his various defensive structures. I don't think he's ever seen anything like RidF's new defense, and even if he's as much of a film student as I, I'm not sure it's much of a preparation.
What I've learned of his play:
1) He's best (by far) with interior defenses. I'm best (by far) against interior defenses. This will be strength-vs-strength.
2) He still fouls too much. This concerns me slightly, because I'll have to field a Goblin all the time. I'm going to have to get somebody out in the first half, and vs all-AV9 with only one MB, that might not be easy. I'll foul with my Goblin any time I can get 4+ assists.
3) He plays as hard as I do, and tends to pour it on down the stretch. I've got to get a handle on him in the positioning game, and if I don't get any key breaks I may be in trouble. I think I can stuff him on defense, so I'm not afraid of scoring on offense and setting up again, if there's not more than 4 or 5 turns to go.
The winner of this matchup will get to face a Nurgle team,
Nekran's Naughty Nurses. They've won twice as underdogs, both RidF and Golgoth won as 'dogs, and the team they beat won their match as 'dogs. This game, I'm hoping to turn the tables and win as the favorite (80K), then come out and win as a slight 'dog (Wizard = consolation for not getting any skills; if I do get skills, I may hire bodies). I feel good about my odds in both games, though I have to say Oazard has said he feels the same way. We can't both be right; we'll find out tomorrow at 2100 GMT if the problem is bad escargot or if my cherimoyas have fermented on me.